SACRAMENTO, Calif. – In the final days of the withdrawal effort that could be ruled out by Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom, his campaign has found a family slice as large as Texas. In fact, it’s Texas.
Newsom and other Democrats highlight Texas ’new laws banning most abortions and restricting ways of voting as proof of what a Republican governor in California could do if voters withdrew Newsom a year before his first term ended.
Newsom also says his Republican Party opponents will follow the leadership of Texas, Florida and some other Republican-led states by removing masks and vaccine requirements. He has framed the issue “a matter of life or death” for Californians.
The last day to vote for the withdrawal is Tuesday, and Democrats use stronger rhetoric to drive their voters to the polls. There are nearly twice as many registered Democrats as there are Republicans in the state, which means a strong turnout should improve Newsom’s chances of survival.
More than 7 million of California’s 22 million voters have already voted and Democrats have so far demonstrated strongly. Meanwhile, recent polls show that the withdrawal has failed with double digits.
If these polls are wrong and the majority chooses to remove Newsom, it is almost certain that a Republican would take over the government, as none of the Democrats with a significant political position are among the 46 replacement candidates. The leader in this field is talk radio presenter Larry Elder, a conservative Republican who opposes abortion and wants to become the state’s first black governor.
California and Texas are the two most opposed states and political countries in the nation. California and its nearly 40 million residents are governed by Democrats who advocate progressive policies on health care, workers ’rights, and immigration. Texas, home to nearly 30 million people, is led by Republicans who have been at the forefront of conservative efforts on the same issues.
New Texas abortion law prohibits procedure once medical professionals can detect cardiac activity in a fetus. It went into effect on September 1 after the U.S. Supreme Court declined to block it.
“The whole idea that now a constitutional right, the right to vote, the right to reproductive freedom, women’s rights, are now being assaulted, what a remarkable moment it is in American history,” Newsom said during Wednesday’s campaign.
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He regarded Elder as “someone who celebrates what just happened to women in Texas and celebrates the prospect of toppling Roe against Wade,” the court case that established abortion rights nationwide.
Vice President Kamala Harris and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren are among the National Democrats who have reinforced Newsom’s message that the California race is critical to the nation’s struggle for values.
“Governors are important,” Warren said at a rally with Newsom last weekend after discussing Texas law. “We can look the other way while they take women’s rights … or we can fight.”
Leaders in California and Texas have a history of using each other’s state as a political tool. In 2013, then-Texas Gov. Rick Perry cut out a radio ad encouraging Californian businesses to leave Texas and its lower taxes and then did so with a recruiting trip to the state. Former California Gov. Jerry Brown dismissed the effort as “just a fart.”
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Texas Gov. Greg Abbott has spoken out of joy over some companies, including Oracle and Hewlett Packard, that have moved their California headquarters to their state during the pandemic. California’s population growth has slowed over the past decade, and so the state lost a seat in Congress for the first time, while Texas continued to grow rapidly and gained two.
“Texas policies attract people more than any other state,” Abbott tweeted recently, referring to a story about California companies leaving the state.
Ray Sullivan, who was Perry’s chief of staff, said it makes sense for political leaders in both states to fight.
“Texas is the largest, boldest and best-known Republican state in the country. California is the largest, strongest, and most high-profile liberal state in the country,” he said.
Sullivan said Newsom and his Democrats are calling for scare tactics to introduce Texas abortion law.
“California will not become socially conservative just because they remove its governor,” he said, noting that the state legislature would still be overwhelmingly democratic.
California Democrats are debating this. Even before the Texas ruling, California abortion rights advocates warned voters that a Republican governor could jeopardize such access through a starting veto to reduce funding for reproductive health and appoint judges. conservatives.
“If you have a leader who is determined to take away rights and take actions that are detrimental to people in accessing care, they will find a way to do that,” said Jodi Hicks, president of Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California. “California is also not isolated for this to happen.”
Even before the abortion law went into effect, Newsom made a clear distinction between its treatment of the pandemic and the way Texas and Florida leaders responded. These states are governed respectively by Abbott and Ron DeSantis, who have tried to ban local mask mandates and have taken a more practical approach to running businesses.
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By contrast, in the early days of the pandemic Newsom imposed the nation’s first state unemployment. More recently, he has ordered that children wear masks to school and that health and state workers be vaccinated.
Jessica Lavariega Monforti, dean of the College of Arts and Sciences at the Lutheran University of California and an expert on voting and elections, said the contrast on abortion rights is likely to be a more powerful message for voters. because the contrast of the pandemic has been clear for a long time. That Texas law was allowed to go into effect by the Supreme Court surprised many people, especially after the courts had suspended laws banning abortion or drastically restricting it in 13 other states.
“Now you have to be a little more on your toes at the state and local level,” he said. “You can’t rely on federal institutions like the court to intervene.”