The near-total ban on abortions in Texas, which began last week, has reverberated nationwide, with abortion rights advocates fearing what will come as lawmakers in some states pledge to follow suit. .
But the question that has been looming in recent days has been what will happen to Roe against Wade, the decision that legalized abortion across the country. Some experts say the Supreme Court’s decision to allow strict Texas law to come into force suggests it may soon overturn what the country’s law has been for nearly 50 years.
But what does this mean for liberal California? According to the Guttmacher Institute, a research group that supports abortion rights, the state hosts more than a quarter of the nation’s abortion facilities.
I contacted experts to find out how Texas law and the possible repeal of Roe v. Wade could affect California, where more than 100,000 abortions are performed each year.
These were the main takeaways:
They are unlikely to change California laws
The right to abortion is enshrined in our state constitution and the new Texas law does not affect that.
If the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, which could happen next spring, the right to abortion would be determined by state laws.
California and 13 other states, as well as Washington, DC, have books laws that would allow legal abortions to be maintained, according to data from the Guttmacher Institute.
In 22 more states, abortion would probably become illegal quickly if Roe fell. A America without a kid is not one without any legal abortion, but with very unequal access, as my colleagues have reported.
Some people in states where abortions are difficult to get may travel to California for treatment. In 2019, Gov. Gavin Newsom signed a proclamation “welcoming women in California to fully exercise their reproductive rights.”
Jeans and other people will come here to have an abortion
Last year, Planned Parenthood clinics in California treated 7,000 patients from other states, a large portion of whom were from Texas, according to Shannon Olivieri Hovis, director of NARAL Pro-Choice California.
Laws on abortion in states closer to Texas may include waiting periods or other restrictions that deter women from seeking care, said Dr. Daniel Grossman, a professor of reproductive sciences at the University of California, California. San Francisco.
“Even though California is geographically very far from Texas, it may make sense for some people to get on a plane and come here,” Grossman told me. “I think as suppliers here in California we will be prepared to increase the demand for services.”
According to Guttmacher, nationwide, 38% of women of reproductive age live in a county without an abortion clinic. In Texas, before the new law, that fraction was 43 percent.
In California, it’s 3 percent.
What is at stake with the withdrawal?
Last week, Newsom made the Texas decision to rally voters. He warned on Twitter that the ban “could be the future of CA” if the withdrawal were successful.
The stakes are high for many abortion advocates: “There is no worse time imaginable than a world where California ends with an anti-election governor at a time when Roe falls for Wade and abortion rights return to the states, ”Olivieri Hovis told me.
But while it’s true that Larry Elder, the top replacement candidate, has called abortion a “murder” and said Roe v. Wade was “one of the worst decisions” of the Supreme Court, anyone who replaces Newsom may not be able to do so much to regain abortion rights.
Amending the state constitution requires the approval of more than 50 percent of voters, a margin difficult to achieve given widespread support for abortion here. And a democratically overwhelming legislature would probably oppose restrictions on abortion.
A new governor may be able to enact small-scale changes that would affect women almost exclusively on Medi-Cal, the state’s Medicaid insurance program for low-income people that funds about half of all abortions in the world. state, Kaiser Health News reported.
For example, the governor could veto bills that extend access to abortion for Medi-Cal patients or set abortion reimbursement rates so low that no doctor could afford to perform the procedure.
Withdrawal, T-minus five days
Here’s what you need to know about the upcoming withdrawal election, scheduled for September 14th.
Many of the Republicans vying to replace Newsom want to delay the state’s aggressive plans to curb its global warming emissions, an action that could have national implications given California’s influence as the world’s fifth largest economy.
Read more from my colleague Brad Plumer.
I’m sure you haven’t forgotten about Newsom’s food at the French Laundry. But The Associated Press published an article this week about how the famous dinner coincided with the verdict of a California judge who gave Newsom critics more time to get the ballot withdrawal.
This is my favorite line of the article: “Dinner caused the heat during the birth of the memory and the extra time allowed it to come to a boil.”
On Wednesday, Vice President Kamala Harris was in the Bay Area campaigning for Newsom. I former President Barack Obama posted an announcement telling voters that the outcome of the election could be the difference “between protecting our children and putting them at risk.”
My colleague Ryan Mac reports that many technology leaders give financial support to Newsom, distrustful of what a replacement would entail.
And finally, The Times has answers to your most frequently asked questions about memory.
Tell us what else do you want to know about retirement? Email your questions to CAtoday@nytimes.com.
Where we travel
Today’s travel advice comes from a reader, Laura Bergman, who writes:
I live in the San Francisco Bay Area and have family in Ventura. We didn’t drive down to see them non-stop in our favorite little town off the beaten track called Los Olivos. We enjoyed tasting wines, tasting olives and touring the beautiful village.
And before you go, some good news
The Marin Independent Journal published six-word stories about friendship. Here are some of the best submitted by readers:
We laughed then, we laugh now. – Jesse N. Alvarez, Rookie
Lovers get excited. Faithful friends delight forever. – Gailya Magdalena, Lucas Valley
Two hearts, two minds, shared thoughts. – Sharon Eide, Rookie
Thanks for reading. I’ll be back tomorrow. – Soumya
PS Here it is today Mini crosswords, and a track: U2, for one (4 letters).
Steven Moity and Briana Scalia collaborated on California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.
Sign up here to get this newsletter in your inbox.